Funding in the 2011-12 school year for grades K-12 would remain almost flat, so long as voters in June approve the extension of increased taxes enacted by the state Legislature in 2009.
But it is unclear if the special election will even take place, said Supt. Richard Sheehan. It will require two-thirds approval from both state houses before it even goes to the voters.
"This is an uphill battle, twice," Sheehan said. "We truly will not know anything — and it is awful to say this — until we know what is going on with the special election.
"One, will we even have [an election], and two, if we have one, will it pass? The cloud of uncertainty continues to loom over all districts. I think we need to be as conservative as possible as we move forward."
The state has lost 1.3 million jobs in the recession and unemployment is hovering at 12.4%, the third highest in the nation. In turn, state coffers — which are heavily dependent on personal income taxes — have shrunk, leaving a gaping financial hole.
"We do have a new governor, a new approach, but the same facts," Lueck said. "This governor faces the biggest deficit ever for a governor in U.S. history. All his proposals are opposed by someone."
In the best-case scenario under Brown's budget proposal, Glendale Unified in 2011-12 would see its funding reduced by about $500,000, or $19 per student, Lueck said. But if the proposed tax extension fails, funding could be cut by as much as $330 per student, or $8.3 million.
Both potential reductions would be in addition to the $29 million lost since the 2007-08 school year.